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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

South Lake Union Eviction Risk: High , Seattle

Tract 53033007405 · King County, WA · pop 2,578 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

53033007405 is a census tract in the South Lake Union area of Seattle, WA. It scores 8.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,578 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 61% Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,857
Renter share89.4%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$102,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 10 tracts In South Lake Union
Low
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 494 tracts In King County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#104 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6180, -122.3236 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lake Union scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,785 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5

How South Lake Union compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lake Union risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.28.2This tracttract 007405Seattle: 7.97.9Seattleparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lake Union. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lake Union

89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against King County at 44.1%, 32% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.9% against 31.5% nationally.

It sits 1.5 points above the King County average of 6.7. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

At $1,785 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Seattle commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #6,676 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $102,985.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033007405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033007405?

Census tract 53033007405 in the South Lake Union neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033007405?

Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033007405?

9.2% of residents in tract 53033007405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,578.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033007405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 9th, minority 56th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 53033007405 considered part of South Lake Union?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033007405 fall within South Lake Union (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 53033007405 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033007405 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 53033007405 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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