Central Business District Eviction Risk: High , Seattle
Tract 53033008002 ·
King County, WA · pop 4,263 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
53033008002 is a census tract in the Central Business District area of Seattle, WA. It scores 8.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,263 residents. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the King County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 59%Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,943
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$121,341
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
63th percentile
#4 of 9 tracts In Central Business District
Elevated
Within parent city
76th percentile
#44 of 177 tracts In Seattle
High
Within county
91th percentile
#45 of 494 tracts In King County
Very High
Within state
97th percentile
#53 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seattle and the region
Centroid at 47.6121, -122.3454 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Business District scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$2,299 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5
How Central Business District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
27%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
272Total filings over 10 yrs
1.54%Avg annual filing rate
2.4%Peak (2004)
18Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2004 to 2013
Filings dropped 54% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Business District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Central Business District
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
Against the King County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 272 evictions over 10 years of observation. At $2,299 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Seattle commands. Filings peaked in 2004 at 2.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033008002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033008002?
Census tract 53033008002 in the Central Business District neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033008002?
Median gross rent is $2,299/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033008002?
15.9% of residents in tract 53033008002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,263.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033008002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 11th, minority 65th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 53033008002 considered part of Central Business District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033008002 fall within Central Business District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033008002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 272 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033008002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.54% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033008002 compare to Seattle overall?
Tract 53033008002 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seattle
Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.