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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,269 of 84,120 nationally

Ballinger Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest Park

Tract 53033020402 · King County, WA · pop 5,400 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 53033020402 sits in the Ballinger neighborhood of Lake Forest Park, Washington. It has a population of 5,400 and an eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). 50% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 27% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,210/month against a median household income of $121,484 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.0
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 15% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,246
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$121,484

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Ballinger
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank — 33th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 4 tracts In Lake Forest Park
Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank — 20th percentileBottomTop
#396 of 494 tracts In King County
Very Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank — 37th percentileBottomTop
#1,118 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest Park and the region

Centroid at 47.7695, -122.2970 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ballinger scores 5.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,210 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
4.0

How Ballinger compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ballinger risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 020402Lake Forest Park: 4.44.4Lake Forest Parkparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.25.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 83Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 1.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.6%Peak (2004)
  • 6Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 — 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530330204022004: 12 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2006: 12 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (0.98/100 renter HHs)2010: 6 filings (0.88/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (1.64/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (1.15/100 renter HHs)2013: 6 filings (0.98/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 10 months.
Frequently asked

About tract 53033020402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033020402?

Census tract 53033020402 in the Ballinger neighborhood scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033020402?

Median gross rent is $2,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033020402?

4.6% of residents in tract 53033020402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,400.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033020402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 14th, minority 36th, housing 41th.

Q5

Is tract 53033020402 considered part of Ballinger?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033020402 fall within Ballinger (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033020402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033020402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.21% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

How does tract 53033020402 compare to Lake Forest Park overall?

Tract 53033020402 scores 5.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Lake Forest Park at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest Park

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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