Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Briarcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest Park
Tract 53033021400 · King County, WA · pop 4,027 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 53033021400 sits in the Briarcrest area of Lake Forest Park, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. Population here is 4,027. It sits 2.4 points below the King County average of 6.7.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,532
Renter share20.0%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$159,100
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Forest Park and the region
Centroid at 47.7508, -122.2924 · click any tract to drill in
Why Briarcrest scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,349 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest Park
4.0
How Briarcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 8 yrs
- 0.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2008)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Briarcrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Briarcrest
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.3/10.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.6/10.
50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the King County average of 44.1%. The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 8 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2008, when 2.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $159,100, annual rent is just 18%.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033021400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033021400?
Census tract 53033021400 in the Briarcrest neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033021400?
Median gross rent is $2,349/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033021400?
2.9% of residents in tract 53033021400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,027.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033021400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 27th, minority 31th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 53033021400 considered part of Briarcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033021400 fall within Briarcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033021400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 53033021400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.92% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033021400 compare to Lake Forest Park overall?
Tract 53033021400 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest Park at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest Park
Top eight tracts in Lake Forest Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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