Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Carlyle Aparments Eviction Risk: Moderate , McChord AFB
Tract 53053072901 · Pierce County, WA · pop 2,899 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
How risky is the Carlyle Aparments neighborhood of McChord AFB for landlords? Census tract 53053072901 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,315 monthly, set against $55,662 in average yearly household income, roughly 50% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units787
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$55,662
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across McChord AFB and the region
Centroid at 47.1296, -122.4909 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlyle Aparments scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from McChord AFB
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,315 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from McChord AFB
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McChord AFB
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from McChord AFB
7.1
How Carlyle Aparments compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 5Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlyle Aparments
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from McChord AFB, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pierce County average of 5.5 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.75x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 53053072901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053072901?
Census tract 53053072901 in the Carlyle Aparments neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53053072901?
Median gross rent is $2,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53053072901?
8.8% of residents in tract 53053072901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,899.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53053072901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 19th, minority 63th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 53053072901 considered part of Carlyle Aparments?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053072901 fall within Carlyle Aparments (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 53053072901 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 53053072901 compare to McChord AFB overall?
Tract 53053072901 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of McChord AFB at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McChord AFB; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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