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Neighborhood · McChord AFB, WA

Carlyle Aparments Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,899 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.8/10 · range 6.8–6.8

Carlyle Aparments is a one-tract neighborhood of McChord AFB, WA and houses 2,899 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.8/10, in the Elevated tier. 42% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10.

This is a renter market: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.

Against a McChord AFB baseline of 51.0%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.2/10. The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent runs $2,315, close to the McChord AFB average.

One tract means one number: 6.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carlyle Aparments vs McChord AFB How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.3% +22%
McChord AFB: 51.0%
Average gross rent
$2,315 0%
McChord AFB: $2,323
Average HH income
$55,662 +0%
McChord AFB: $55,662
Poverty rate
8.8% +0%
McChord AFB: 8.8%
Renter share
100.0% +3%
McChord AFB: 97.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlyle Aparments and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.8–6.8

Why Carlyle Aparments scores 6.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
100% renter households · Range 9.9–9.9 across tracts
9.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
8.8% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Risk score comparison

Carlyle Aparments vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carlyle Aparments score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.8Carlyle AparmentsNeighborhood5.8Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carlyle Aparments

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53053072901 6.8 2,899 62% $2,315
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 19%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carlyle Aparments

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 5Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly observed
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO).

Frequently asked

About Carlyle Aparments

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carlyle Aparments?

Carlyle Aparments scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carlyle Aparments compare to McChord AFB overall?

Carlyle Aparments scores 1.0 points higher than McChord AFB overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $2,315 vs $2,323.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carlyle Aparments?

Average gross rent in Carlyle Aparments is $2,315/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carlyle Aparments residents are renters?

100% of Carlyle Aparments households are renter-occupied (vs 97% in McChord AFB). The neighborhood has 2,899 residents.
Q5

Is Carlyle Aparments a high social-vulnerability area?

Carlyle Aparments sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carlyle Aparments for landlords?

Carlyle Aparments carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to McChord AFB as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carlyle Aparments?

Carlyle Aparments has 2,895 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.9%), Hispanic / Latino (24.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carlyle Aparments

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