Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Forge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milwaukee
Tract 55079012400 · Milwaukee County, WI · pop 2,559 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 55079012400 covers part of the Valley Forge area of Milwaukee, WI, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,559. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Milwaukee County average of 45.8%.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,159
Renter share55.1%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$58,520
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milwaukee and the region
Centroid at 43.0458, -87.9768 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Forge scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milwaukee
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$983 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milwaukee
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milwaukee
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milwaukee
5.5
How Valley Forge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 52%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 333Total filings over 13 yrs
- 3.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2012)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 85Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Milwaukee, WI as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Valley Forge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 22.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Forge
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 333 evictions over 13 years of observation. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
SNAP participation runs 22.9% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.7% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Milwaukee Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Milwaukee County average of 4.5 closely.
Average gross rent is $983, close to the Milwaukee average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 55079012400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55079012400?
Census tract 55079012400 in the Valley Forge neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 55079012400?
Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 55079012400?
11.4% of residents in tract 55079012400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,559.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 55079012400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 37th, minority 52th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 55079012400 considered part of Valley Forge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55079012400 fall within Valley Forge (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55079012400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 333 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 55079012400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.50% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 55079012400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Milwaukee eviction risk, WI), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 55079012400 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 55079012400 compare to Milwaukee overall?
Tract 55079012400 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Milwaukee at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 55079012400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukee
Top eight tracts in Milwaukee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WI
Bronzeville
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Cesar E. Chavez Drive
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Center Street Marketplace
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Sherman Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
West End
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
SOHI
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Westlawn
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Bronzeville
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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