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Neighborhood · Milwaukee, WI

Valley Forge Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 8,979 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4.2

Valley Forge spans 4 census tracts of Milwaukee, WI, population 8,979. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.3/10.

The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 4.2, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Against a Milwaukee baseline of 30.5%, 36% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Court records carry 647 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. 11% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 4.7% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,152, 9% above the Milwaukee average of $1,059. The most recent observed rate, 2.1% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #47 of 53 neighborhoods in Milwaukee.

For a like-for-like read, Town Hall Terrace and Highland Park score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Valley Forge vs Milwaukee How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.1% +18%
Milwaukee: 30.5%
Average gross rent
$1,152 +9%
Milwaukee: $1,059
Average HH income
$80,836 +56%
Milwaukee: $51,888
Poverty rate
9.0% -61%
Milwaukee: 23.3%
Renter share
48.3% -17%
Milwaukee: 58.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valley Forge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–4.2

Why Valley Forge scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.3–7.5 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 2.5–5.3 across tracts
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.3–5.5 across tracts
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 6.0–8.1 across tracts
6.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.4–5.5 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
9.0% below poverty line · Range 1.7–2.8 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–6.9 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Valley Forge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valley Forge score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Valley Forge: 3.63.6Valley ForgeNeighborhoodParent city: 4.44.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Valley Forge?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 3 to 4.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Valley Forge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
55079012400 4.2 2,559 33% $983
55079012600 3.9 2,147 39% $1,044
55079012500 3.2 1,879 45% $1,067
55079091400 3 2,394 29% $1,498
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 27%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Valley Forge

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 647Total filings (sum)
  • 2.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak year (2012)
  • 2.01%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 213Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.74×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Milwaukee, WI).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valley Forge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valley Forge

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valley Forge?

Valley Forge scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valley Forge compare to Milwaukee overall?

Valley Forge scores 0.8 points lower than Milwaukee overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,152 vs $1,059.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valley Forge?

Average gross rent in Valley Forge is $1,152/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valley Forge residents are renters?

48% of Valley Forge households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Milwaukee). The neighborhood has 8,979 residents.
Q5

Is Valley Forge a high social-vulnerability area?

Valley Forge sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Valley Forge have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Valley Forge is census tract 55079012400 (score 4.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.2, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Valley Forge for landlords?

Valley Forge carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Milwaukee as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Valley Forge?

Valley Forge has 8,952 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71.5%), Hispanic / Latino (11.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valley Forge

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Milwaukee

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valley Forge.

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