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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Knoxville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 47093006902 · Knox County, TN · pop 3,034 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 47093006902 in the Downtown Knoxville area of Knoxville ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,034 residents. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,031 a month against an average household income of $18,980 a year, roughly 65% of income at the averages. Renters make up 96% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 43% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units550
Renter share96.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate68.7%
Median income$18,980

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Downtown Knoxville
Moderate
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 85 tracts In Knoxville
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 121 tracts In Knox County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Knoxville and the region

Centroid at 35.9599, -83.9318 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Knoxville scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Knoxville
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
68.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,031 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Knoxville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Knoxville
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Knoxville
2.5

How Downtown Knoxville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Knoxville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 006902Knoxville: 2.32.3Knoxvilleparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Knoxville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Knoxville

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Knoxville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Knox County average of 3.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47093006902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47093006902?

Census tract 47093006902 in the Downtown Knoxville neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47093006902?

Median gross rent is $1,031/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47093006902?

68.7% of residents in tract 47093006902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,034.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47093006902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 1th, minority 31th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 47093006902 considered part of Downtown Knoxville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47093006902 fall within Downtown Knoxville (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 47093006902 compare to Knoxville overall?

Tract 47093006902 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Knoxville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Knoxville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 47093006902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Knoxville

Top eight tracts in Knoxville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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