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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Knoxville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47093006903 · Knox County, TN · pop 2,412 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 47093006903 covers part of the Downtown Knoxville area of Knoxville, TN, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 53%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 32% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units957
Renter share96.0%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate83.6%
Median income$14,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Downtown Knoxville
Low
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 85 tracts In Knoxville
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 121 tracts In Knox County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#314 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Knoxville and the region

Centroid at 35.9634, -83.9296 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Knoxville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Knoxville
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
83.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$896 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Knoxville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Knoxville
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Knoxville
2.5

How Downtown Knoxville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Knoxville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0069033.4Knoxvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Knoxville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Knoxville

Against Knox County at 40.9%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $14,229 and the ratio lands at 76%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 84%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.8% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

At $896 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Knoxville commands. Against the Knox County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47093006903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47093006903?

Census tract 47093006903 in the Downtown Knoxville neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47093006903?

Median gross rent is $896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47093006903?

83.6% of residents in tract 47093006903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,412.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47093006903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 2th, minority 48th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 47093006903 considered part of Downtown Knoxville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47093006903 fall within Downtown Knoxville (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 47093006903 compare to Knoxville overall?

Tract 47093006903 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Knoxville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Knoxville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 47093006903 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 77% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Knoxville

Top eight tracts in Knoxville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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