Springfield Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Cost burden runs 26% here against 34.5% across Robertson County. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Robertson County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $80,917.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.