Murfreesboro Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 0.9 points above the Rutherford County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $52,078.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.