Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Cedar Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Smyrna

Tract 47149040304 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 3,931 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

47149040304 is a census tract in the Cedar Forest area of Smyrna, TN. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,931 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.2/10.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units1,639

Renter share44.2%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate10.7%

Median income$64,102

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 35.9740, -86.5262 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cedar Forest scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Smyrna

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

10.7% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,130 rent vs county FMR

1.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Smyrna

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Smyrna

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Smyrna

5.9

How Cedar Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cedar Forest

Against Rutherford County at 47.9%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. At $1,130 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Smyrna commands. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against the Rutherford County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $64,102.

44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040304

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040304?

Census tract 47149040304 in the Cedar Forest neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47149040304?

Median gross rent is $1,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040304?

10.7% of residents in tract 47149040304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,931.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 58th, minority 62th, housing 38th.

Is tract 47149040304 considered part of Cedar Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47149040304 fall within Cedar Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 47149040304 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040304 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.