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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Harbor Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157000200 · Shelby County, TN · pop 1,211 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 47157000200 covers the Harbor Town neighborhood of Memphis, home to 1,211 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 81% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $953 monthly, set against $28,850 in average yearly household income, roughly 40% of income at the averages. Renters make up 80% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 15% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units433
Renter share79.7%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate35.7%
Median income$28,850

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Harbor Town
Very High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#54 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#196 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1681, -90.0424 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harbor Town scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
35.7% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$953 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Harbor Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harbor Town risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 000200Memphis: 3.13.1Memphisparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 531Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.57×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (0.74× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.35× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-09-01: 8 filings (2.13× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-01-01: 4 filings (0.59× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-03-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-04-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 11 filings (1.91× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-08-01: 17 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2022-12-01: 12 filings (4.36× baseline)2023-01-01: 14 filings (2.07× baseline)2023-02-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2023-03-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-05-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 9 filings (1.57× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2023-08-01: 10 filings (2.35× baseline)2023-09-01: 14 filings (3.73× baseline)2023-10-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2023-11-01: 17 filings (3.78× baseline)2023-12-01: 14 filings (5.09× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (0.74× baseline)2024-02-01: 11 filings (2.44× baseline)2024-03-01: 9 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 13 filings (4.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 13 filings (2.26× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-08-01: 19 filings (4.47× baseline)2024-09-01: 10 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-10-01: 10 filings (2.11× baseline)2024-11-01: 13 filings (2.89× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-02-01: 12 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 10 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 14 filings (2.80× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 8 filings (1.39× baseline)2025-07-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2025-08-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2025-09-01: 10 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-10-01: 11 filings (2.32× baseline)2025-11-01: 14 filings (3.11× baseline)2025-12-01: 8 filings (2.91× baseline)2026-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harbor Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harbor Town

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 88% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.57x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157000200?

Census tract 47157000200 in the Harbor Town neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157000200?

Median gross rent is $953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157000200?

35.7% of residents in tract 47157000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,211.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 69th, minority 100th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 47157000200 considered part of Harbor Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157000200 fall within Harbor Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157000200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157000200 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157000200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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