Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Millington Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 47157020302 ·
Shelby County, TN · pop 2,981
Eviction risk in Millington eviction risk centers on tract 47157020302, which scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,981 residents. That is riskier than roughly 52% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $919 monthly, set against $43,980 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 36%Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,623
Renter share56.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate35.3%
Median income$43,980
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 7 tracts In Millington
Very High
Within county
70th percentile
#76 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Elevated
Within state
84th percentile
#271 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
National
77th percentile
#19,562 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Millington and the region
Centroid at 35.3464, -89.8945 · click any tract to drill in
Why Millington scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Millington
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
35.3% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$919 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Millington
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Millington
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Millington
5.5
How Millington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
71%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
561Total filings 2020-21
7.4Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Millington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157020302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157020302?
Census tract 47157020302 in Millington scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157020302?
Median gross rent is $919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157020302?
35.3% of residents in tract 47157020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,981.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157020302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 96th, minority 61th, housing 99th.
Q5
How does tract 47157020302 compare to Millington overall?
Tract 47157020302 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Millington at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Millington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Millington
Top eight tracts in Millington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.