San Antonio Eviction Risk: Moderate

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 44.1% against 31.5% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Bexar County average of 4.1. Court records carry 132 eviction filings across 9 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2008, when 8.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Antonio. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.