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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Fairlin Eviction Risk: Lower , Double Oak

Tract 48121021746 · Denton, TX · pop 4,309 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

48121021746 is a census tract in the Fairlin area of Double Oak, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,309. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Denton County average of 45.5%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 1% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,350
Renter share1.4%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$207,059

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fairlin
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Double Oak
Moderate
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#138 of 193 tracts In Denton
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Double Oak and the region

Centroid at 33.0678, -97.1176 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fairlin scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Double Oak
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,448 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Double Oak
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Double Oak
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Double Oak
5.9

How Fairlin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fairlin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 021746Double Oak: 3.23.2Double Oakparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2005)
  • 2Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210217462001: 2 filings (4.28/100 renter HHs)2002: 5 filings (10.71/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (12.85/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (10.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (7.41/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (5.29/100 renter HHs)2007: 3 filings (3.18/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (8.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (1.82/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2015: 2 filings (3.64/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 13Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.21×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fairlin

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 12 observed years. It sits 0.8 points below the Denton County average of 3.8.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 7.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 8% of average household income of $207,059, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,448, close to the Double Oak average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021746

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021746?

Census tract 48121021746 in the Fairlin neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121021746?

Median gross rent is $1,448/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021746?

3.6% of residents in tract 48121021746 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021746?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 18th, minority 36th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 48121021746 considered part of Fairlin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021746 fall within Fairlin (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021746?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48121021746 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.90% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021746 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48121021746 compare to Double Oak overall?

Tract 48121021746 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Double Oak at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Double Oak; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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