Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Airline Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aldine
Tract 48201222402 · Harris, TX · pop 6,678 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Here is how census tract 48201222402, in the Airline area of Aldine, looks to a landlord: a 7.2/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 6,678. That is riskier than about 96% of US census tracts.
About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,426 a month while the average household earns $41,671 a year, roughly 41% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share40.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate41.1%
Median income$41,671
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aldine and the region
Centroid at 29.9112, -95.3889 · click any tract to drill in
Why Airline scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aldine
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
41.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,426 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aldine
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aldine
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aldine
9.4
How Airline compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 189Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2010)
- 28Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 22% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 170Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Airline. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Airline
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aldine, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.05x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201222402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201222402?
Census tract 48201222402 in the Airline neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201222402?
Median gross rent is $1,426/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201222402?
41.1% of residents in tract 48201222402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,678.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201222402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 81th, minority 87th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 48201222402 considered part of Airline?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201222402 fall within Airline (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201222402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 189 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201222402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.23% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201222402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201222402 compare to Aldine overall?
Tract 48201222402 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Aldine at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aldine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aldine
Top eight tracts in Aldine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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