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Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Aldine Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48201222300 · Harris, TX · pop 4,984 · 17% of tract blocks fall in Aldine

48201222300 is a census tract in Aldine, TX. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Adults with no health insurance runs 47.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 11% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,387
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$38,770

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Aldine
Low
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aldine and the region

Centroid at 29.8959, -95.3514 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aldine scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aldine
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aldine
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aldine
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aldine
9.4

How Aldine compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aldine risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 2223004.4Aldineparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 394Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 16.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.1%Peak (2013)
  • 46Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201222300
Filings climbed 53% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 125Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.29×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aldine

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.4/10.

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $38,770 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Disability prevalence runs 48.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 394 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 28.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 16.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201222300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201222300?

Census tract 48201222300 in Aldine scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201222300?

Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201222300?

28.9% of residents in tract 48201222300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201222300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 89th, minority 92th, housing 50th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201222300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 394 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201222300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.51% of renter households, peaking at 28.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201222300 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201222300 compare to Aldine overall?

Tract 48201222300 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Aldine at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aldine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aldine

Top eight tracts in Aldine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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