Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacinto Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Galena Park
Tract 48201233703 · Harris, TX · pop 3,037 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 48201233703 in the Jacinto Oaks area of Galena Park, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,037. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units811
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$54,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Galena Park and the region
Centroid at 29.7435, -95.2215 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacinto Oaks scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Galena Park
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,342 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Galena Park
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Galena Park
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Galena Park
7.4
How Jacinto Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 65Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2010)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 22% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 62Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacinto Oaks
Adults with no health insurance runs 40.5% against 11.3% nationally. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Harris County average of 49.5%. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 65 filings here across 7 tracked years. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
Average gross rent is $1,342, 13% above the Galena Park average. The worst year on record was 2010, when 8.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201233703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201233703?
Census tract 48201233703 in the Jacinto Oaks neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201233703?
Median gross rent is $1,342/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201233703?
17.1% of residents in tract 48201233703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,037.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201233703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 79th, minority 95th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 48201233703 considered part of Jacinto Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201233703 fall within Jacinto Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201233703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201233703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.12% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201233703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201233703 compare to Galena Park overall?
Tract 48201233703 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Galena Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Galena Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Galena Park
Top eight tracts in Galena Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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