Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Autumn Falls Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201250303 · Harris, TX · pop 3,475 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 48201250303 covers the Autumn Falls neighborhood of Houston, home to 3,475 residents. For landlords it grades 5.1/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 41% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,578 a month while the average household earns $130,842 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,270
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$130,842
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.9421, -95.2416 · click any tract to drill in
Why Autumn Falls scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,578 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Autumn Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 40Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.23×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Autumn Falls
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.23x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201250303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201250303?
Census tract 48201250303 in the Autumn Falls neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201250303?
Median gross rent is $1,578/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201250303?
11.2% of residents in tract 48201250303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,475.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201250303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 9th, minority 88th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 48201250303 considered part of Autumn Falls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201250303 fall within Autumn Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201250303 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201250303 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201250303 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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