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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Braeburn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201423002 · Harris, TX · pop 2,854 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201423002 in the Braeburn area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,854 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 32% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,189
Renter share87.6%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate40.7%
Median income$32,520

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Braeburn
Moderate
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#246 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#204 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6761, -95.5215 · click any tract to drill in

Why Braeburn scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
40.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Braeburn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Braeburn risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 4230023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 245Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Braeburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Braeburn

Adults with no health insurance runs 39.3% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Harris County average of 49.5%.

88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $913, 33% below the Houston average.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $32,520 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201423002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423002?

Census tract 48201423002 in the Braeburn neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201423002?

Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423002?

40.7% of residents in tract 48201423002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,854.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 93th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 48201423002 considered part of Braeburn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423002 fall within Braeburn (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201423002 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201423002 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201423002 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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