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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Central City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201314005 · Harris, TX · pop 2,993 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

48201314005 is a census tract in the Central City area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 37% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,780
Renter share78.5%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$45,451

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Central City
Elevated
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#242 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6837, -95.3970 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central City scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,334 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Central City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central City risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 3140053.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 409Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central City

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $45,451 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,334, close to the Houston average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201314005

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201314005?

Census tract 48201314005 in the Central City neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201314005?

Median gross rent is $1,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201314005?

20.5% of residents in tract 48201314005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,993.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201314005?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 6th, minority 83th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 48201314005 considered part of Central City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201314005 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201314005 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201314005 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201314005 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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