Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201212300 · Harris, TX · pop 4,554 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
48201212300 is a census tract in the Downtown area of Houston, TX. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,554 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 35.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share65.4%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$62,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7748, -95.3550 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,176 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 263Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2010)
- 44Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 895Total filings 2020-21
- 11.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.23×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 0.9 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. Court records carry 263 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,176, 14% below the Houston average.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 4.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201212300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201212300?
Census tract 48201212300 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201212300?
Median gross rent is $1,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201212300?
22.8% of residents in tract 48201212300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,554.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201212300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 20th, minority 91th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 48201212300 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201212300 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201212300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 263 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201212300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.75% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201212300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201212300 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201212300 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201212300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Huntington Village
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Spring Branch
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fallbrook
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fifth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Scenic Woods
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westbury
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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Memorial Hollow
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201220400
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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