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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 13,644 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 2.4–5.3

Downtown is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Houston with 2 census tracts and a population of 13,644 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 17% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 8% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,574/month sits 16% higher than the Houston citywide average ($1,361).

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
17.1% -47%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,574 +16%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$20,965 -67%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
7.6% -61%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
68.8% +19%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.4–5.3

Why Downtown scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
17% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
7.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.7 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–6.6 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown: 3.43.4DowntownNeighborhoodParent city: 2.82.8Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201212300 5.3 4,554 51% $1,176
48201980200 2.4 9,090 0% $1,773
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 263Total filings (sum)
  • 3.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak year (2010)
  • 4.40%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,233Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.8Avg monthly observed
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 8.59×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Houston overall?

Downtown scores 0.6 points higher than Houston overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 17% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,574 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,574/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

69% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 13,644 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 48201212300 (score 5.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.4 to 5.3, a spread of 2.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 14,466 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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