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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 13,644 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4.9

Downtown is a 2-tract suburb of Houston, TX, population 13,644. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.6/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Annualized rent equals 90% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Cost burden runs 17% against 32.1% citywide, putting Downtown 15.0% under its own city. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. This is a renter market: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.9. A 1.9-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 263 evictions logged in this tract. Average gross rent is $1,574, 16% above the Houston average of $1,361.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.6/10. The severe-burden share is 8%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 4.8% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 4.4% in 2015 against a 4.8% peak.

That places it #176 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
17.1% -47%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,574 +16%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$20,965 -67%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
7.6% -61%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
68.8% +19%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.9

Why Downtown scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
17% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
7.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.7 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–6.6 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.6DowntownNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201212300 4.9 4,554 51% $1,176
48201980200 3 9,090 0% $1,773
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 8%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 263Total filings (sum)
  • 3.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak year (2010)
  • 4.40%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,233Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.8Avg monthly observed
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 8.59×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Houston overall?

Downtown scores 0.1 points lower than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 17% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,574 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,574/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

69% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 13,644 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 48201212300 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.9, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 14,466 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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