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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Fifth Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201211302 · Harris, TX · pop 2,704 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 48201211302 sits in the Fifth Ward area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 2,704 residents. Average gross rent is $848, 38% below the Houston average.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 36% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,313
Renter share67.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$39,871

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Fifth Ward
Moderate
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7782, -95.3231 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fifth Ward scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$848 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Fifth Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fifth Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 2113023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 418Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.98×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fifth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fifth Ward

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.3% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201211302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201211302?

Census tract 48201211302 in the Fifth Ward neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201211302?

Median gross rent is $848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201211302?

20.7% of residents in tract 48201211302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,704.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201211302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 93th, minority 97th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 48201211302 considered part of Fifth Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201211302 fall within Fifth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201211302 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.98× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201211302 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201211302 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201211302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 96% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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