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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201251100 · Harris, TX · pop 6,839 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 48201251100 covers part of the Forest Cove area of Houston, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,839 residents. 82% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Harris County average of 49.5%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 1% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,457
Renter share8.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$100,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Cove
Moderate
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#662 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#753 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 30.0355, -95.2365 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Cove scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,890 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Forest Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 2511003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 297Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 8.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak (2012)
  • 29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201251100
Filings dropped 45% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 158Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.68×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Cove

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,890 a month, rents run 39% over what the rest of Houston commands. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 23.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 297 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 11.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201251100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201251100?

Census tract 48201251100 in the Forest Cove neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201251100?

Median gross rent is $1,890/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201251100?

5.2% of residents in tract 48201251100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,839.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201251100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 80th, minority 43th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 48201251100 considered part of Forest Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201251100 fall within Forest Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201251100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201251100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.89% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201251100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201251100 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201251100 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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