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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Gulfton Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,350 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Gulfton maps to a single census tract in Houston, TX and houses 3,350 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. 44% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Houston rate of 32.1%.

Average gross rent is $875, 36% below the Houston average of $1,361. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1/10.

This is a renter market: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 31%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot is economic stress at 7.8/10.

Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are North Shadydale and Grand Vista Lakes.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $44,146.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gulfton vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.5% +36%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$875 -36%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$44,146 -30%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
31.1% +58%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
77.6% +34%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gulfton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Gulfton scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
78% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
31.1% below poverty line · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Gulfton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gulfton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1GulftonNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gulfton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201421602 5.1 3,350 44% $875
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Gulfton

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 83Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly observed
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.26×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Gulfton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gulfton?

Gulfton scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gulfton compare to Houston overall?

Gulfton scores 1.4 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $875 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gulfton?

Average gross rent in Gulfton is $875/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gulfton residents are renters?

78% of Gulfton households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 3,350 residents.
Q5

Is Gulfton a high social-vulnerability area?

Gulfton sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gulfton for landlords?

Gulfton carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gulfton?

Gulfton has 2,928 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (73.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (17.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gulfton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gulfton.

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