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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Timbergrove Manor Section 8 Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201511003 · Harris, TX · pop 2,333 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201511003 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 8 area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,333. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 37% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,047
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$76,078

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Timbergrove Manor Section 8
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#676 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#956 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7954, -95.4340 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timbergrove Manor Section 8 scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,224 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Timbergrove Manor Section 8 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timbergrove Manor Section 8 risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5110033.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 330Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.42×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timbergrove Manor Section 8

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 41% here against 49.5% across Harris County.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. At $1,224 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Houston commands. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $76,078.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201511003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201511003?

Census tract 48201511003 in the Timbergrove Manor Section 8 neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201511003?

Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201511003?

5.8% of residents in tract 48201511003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,333.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201511003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 11th, minority 62th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 48201511003 considered part of Timbergrove Manor Section 8?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201511003 fall within Timbergrove Manor Section 8 (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201511003 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201511003 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201511003 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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