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Census Tract · Ranked #44,286 of 84,120 nationally

South Houston Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48201321500 · Harris, TX · pop 2,601

Here is how census tract 48201321500, in South Houston eviction risk in Harris County, looks to a landlord: a 6.9/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,601. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $996 monthly, set against $41,267 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 36% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units966
Renter share83.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate39.2%
Median income$41,267

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 4 tracts In South Houston
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileBottomTop
#14 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileBottomTop
#94 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileBottomTop
#44,286 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6650, -95.2119 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Houston scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Houston
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.2% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Houston
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Houston
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Houston
8.3

How South Houston compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Houston risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 321500South Houston: 3.93.9South Houstonparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 282Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak (2010)
  • 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482013215002009: 45 filings (6.60/100 renter HHs)2010: 57 filings (8.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 49 filings (7.37/100 renter HHs)2012: 56 filings (8.42/100 renter HHs)2013: 29 filings (4.36/100 renter HHs)2014: 19 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)2015: 27 filings (4.06/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 280Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.41×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-12-01: 10 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 11 filings (2.93× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 12 filings (5.33× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (3.56× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2023-07-01: 8 filings (2.91× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 10 filings (3.08× baseline)2023-10-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-07-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2024-10-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 13 filings (3.47× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (7.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-02-01: 9 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-04-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-06-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2025-07-01: 7 filings (2.55× baseline)2025-08-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Houston

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.41x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201321500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321500?

Census tract 48201321500 in South Houston scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201321500?

Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321500?

39.2% of residents in tract 48201321500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,601.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 95th, minority 97th, housing 84th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201321500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 282 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201321500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.96% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201321500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

Q7

How does tract 48201321500 compare to South Houston overall?

Tract 48201321500 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of South Houston at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Houston

Top eight tracts in South Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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