Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Southmore Plaza Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201321401 · Harris, TX · pop 3,991 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 48201321401 covers part of the Southmore Plaza area of South Houston, TX, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,991. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,055
Renter share25.8%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate30.1%
Median income$51,946
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6659, -95.2270 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southmore Plaza scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.1% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,488 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
8.3
How Southmore Plaza compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 152Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2010)
- 22Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 22% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 161Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.22×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southmore Plaza. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southmore Plaza
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Cost burden runs 38% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $51,946, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,488, 23% above the South Houston average.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 152 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 7.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201321401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321401?
Census tract 48201321401 in the Southmore Plaza neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201321401?
Median gross rent is $1,488/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321401?
30.1% of residents in tract 48201321401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,991.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 82th, minority 93th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 48201321401 considered part of Southmore Plaza?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201321401 fall within Southmore Plaza (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201321401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 152 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201321401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.45% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201321401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201321401 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201321401 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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