Wayside Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 36%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,305 across 3 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 22.1% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 13.4% in 2015 against a 22.1% peak. That places it #1 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston.

For a like-for-like read, North Shadydale and Grand Vista Lakes score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $1,320, close to the Houston average.

With little internal variation, 5.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.