Southbrook Eviction Risk: Moderate

Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The poverty rate is 40%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running hot is economic stress at 8.9/10.

At $1,028 a month, rents sit 24% under what the rest of Houston commands. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.7/10. That places it #1 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston.

For a like-for-like read, North Shadydale and Grand Vista Lakes score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 5 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.