Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Country Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Jersey Village
Tract 48201551704 · Harris, TX · pop 3,746 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
48201551704 is a census tract in the Winchester Country Trails area of Jersey Village, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,746. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,442
Renter share31.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$125,278
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jersey Village and the region
Centroid at 29.9005, -95.5762 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester Country Trails scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jersey Village
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,331 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey Village
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey Village
1.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey Village
1.5
How Winchester Country Trails compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 126Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 4.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester Country Trails
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. At $1,331 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Jersey Village commands.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $125,278, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201551704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201551704?
Census tract 48201551704 in the Winchester Country Trails neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201551704?
Median gross rent is $1,331/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201551704?
3.7% of residents in tract 48201551704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,746.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201551704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 11th, minority 68th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 48201551704 considered part of Winchester Country Trails?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201551704 fall within Winchester Country Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201551704 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 4.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201551704 compare to Jersey Village overall?
Tract 48201551704 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jersey Village at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey Village
Top eight tracts in Jersey Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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