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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,844 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.2

Winchester is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Houston with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,844 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 21% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,592/month sits 17% higher than the Houston citywide average ($1,361).

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Winchester vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.3% +54%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,592 +17%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$57,927 -8%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
20.7% +5%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
31.5% -46%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.1–5.2

Why Winchester scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.7 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
20.7% below poverty line · Range 4.9–5.5 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–6.3 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Winchester vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Winchester score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Winchester: 5.15.1WinchesterNeighborhoodParent city: 2.82.8Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Winchester

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48157670202 5.2 4,843 34% $1,447
48201330302 5.1 5,001 64% $1,733
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Winchester

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 286Total filings (sum)
  • 10.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak year (2011)
  • 9.90%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 173Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly observed
  • 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Winchester

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Winchester?

Winchester scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Winchester compare to Houston overall?

Winchester scores 2.3 points higher than Houston overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,592 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Winchester?

Average gross rent in Winchester is $1,592/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Winchester residents are renters?

32% of Winchester households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 9,844 residents.
Q5

Is Winchester a high social-vulnerability area?

Winchester sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Winchester have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Winchester is census tract 48157670202 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.2, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Winchester for landlords?

Winchester carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Winchester?

Winchester has 10,180 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (51.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (42.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winchester

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Winchester.

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