2 census tracts · pop 9,844 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10
· range 4.7–5.1
Winchester is a 2-tract neighborhood of Houston, TX and houses 9,844 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 32.1% citywide, putting Winchester 17.2% over its own city.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.
At $1,592 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of Houston commands. The filing record is not thin: 286 evictions logged in this tract.
Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 11.9% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 9.9% in 2015 against a 11.9% peak. That places it #55 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston.
For a like-for-like read, Harvest Bend and Eastwood score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
With little internal variation, 4.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Winchester vs HoustonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Winchester
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
286Total filings (sum)
10.14%Avg annual filing rate
11.9%Peak year (2011)
9.90%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
173Total filings 2020-21
2.3Avg monthly observed
3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Winchester
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Winchester?
Winchester scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Winchester compare to Houston overall?
Winchester scores 1.2 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,592 vs $1,361.
Q3
What is the average rent in Winchester?
Average gross rent in Winchester is $1,592/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Winchester residents are renters?
32% of Winchester households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 9,844 residents.
Q5
Is Winchester a high social-vulnerability area?
Winchester sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Winchester have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Winchester is census tract 48157670202 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.1, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Winchester for landlords?
Winchester carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Winchester?
Winchester has 10,180 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (51.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (42.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
