Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Shary Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Mission
Tract 48215024116 ·
Hidalgo, TX · pop 4,114 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 48215024116 sits in the Shary Forest area of Mission eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,114. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 15%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,160
Renter share22.5%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$76,685
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Shary Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
36th percentile
#15 of 23 tracts In Mission
Low
Within county
26th percentile
#158 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mission and the region
Centroid at 26.2479, -98.2958 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shary Forest scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mission
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mission
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mission
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mission
6.1
How Shary Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
82%Socioeconomic
72%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shary Forest
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 42.3% across Hidalgo County.
Adults with no health insurance runs 23.5% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Hidalgo County average of 3.9.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $76,685, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48215024116
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215024116?
Census tract 48215024116 in the Shary Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48215024116?
Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48215024116?
9.7% of residents in tract 48215024116 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,114.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48215024116?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 72th, minority 91th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 48215024116 considered part of Shary Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215024116 fall within Shary Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48215024116 compare to Mission overall?
Tract 48215024116 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Mission at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mission
Top eight tracts in Mission ranked by composite eviction-risk score.