Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
East Buena Vista Addition Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alice
Tract 48249950301 · Jim Wells, TX · pop 3,821 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
48249950301 is a census tract in the East Buena Vista Addition Colonia area of Alice, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,821 residents. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,191
Renter share58.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate47.5%
Median income$50,208
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alice and the region
Centroid at 27.7344, -98.0542 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Buena Vista Addition Colonia scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alice
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
47.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,157 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alice
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alice
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alice
8.7
How East Buena Vista Addition Colonia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Buena Vista Addition Colonia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Buena Vista Addition Colonia
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 37.9% against 11.3% nationally.
The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10.
The voucher gap is 24.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $1,157, 24% above the Alice average.
Disability prevalence runs 44.3% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Jim Wells County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48249950301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48249950301?
Census tract 48249950301 in the East Buena Vista Addition Colonia neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48249950301?
Median gross rent is $1,157/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48249950301?
47.5% of residents in tract 48249950301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,821.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48249950301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 87th, minority 95th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 48249950301 considered part of East Buena Vista Addition Colonia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48249950301 fall within East Buena Vista Addition Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48249950301 compare to Alice overall?
Tract 48249950301 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Alice at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alice
Top eight tracts in Alice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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