Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Alvarado Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48251130417 · Johnson, TX · pop 4,929 · 71% of tract blocks fall in Alvarado
The Moderate-tier score of 5.3/10 for census tract 48251130417 reflects conditions in Alvarado in Johnson County, Texas. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,123 a month while the average household earns $88,963 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,622
Renter share32.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$88,963
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
National
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alvarado and the region
Centroid at 32.3944, -97.1806 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alvarado scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alvarado
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,123 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alvarado
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alvarado
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alvarado
6.8
How Alvarado compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alvarado
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alvarado, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Johnson County average of 4.8 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48251130417
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48251130417?
Census tract 48251130417 in Alvarado scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48251130417?
Median gross rent is $1,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48251130417?
8.9% of residents in tract 48251130417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,929.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48251130417?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 80th, minority 64th, housing 97th.
Q5
How does tract 48251130417 compare to Alvarado overall?
Tract 48251130417 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Alvarado at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvarado; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alvarado
Top eight tracts in Alvarado ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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