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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Alvarado Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48251130417 · Johnson, TX · pop 4,929 · 71% of tract blocks fall in Alvarado

With a score of 3/10, tract 48251130417 in Alvarado, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Average gross rent is $1,123, 43% above the Alvarado average.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 15% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,622
Renter share32.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$88,963

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Alvarado
Very Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 39 tracts In Johnson
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alvarado and the region

Centroid at 32.3944, -97.1806 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alvarado scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alvarado
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,123 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alvarado
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alvarado
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alvarado
6.8

How Alvarado compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alvarado risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 1304173.4Alvaradoparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alvarado

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.

Against Johnson County at 44.3%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.1% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Johnson County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $88,963, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48251130417

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48251130417?

Census tract 48251130417 in Alvarado scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48251130417?

Median gross rent is $1,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48251130417?

8.9% of residents in tract 48251130417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,929.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48251130417?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 80th, minority 64th, housing 97th.
Q5

How does tract 48251130417 compare to Alvarado overall?

Tract 48251130417 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Alvarado at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvarado; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alvarado

Top eight tracts in Alvarado ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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