Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Alvarado Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48251130414 · Johnson, TX · pop 3,005 · 12% of tract blocks fall in Alvarado
48251130414 is a census tract in Alvarado, TX. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,005. Against Johnson County at 44.3%, 1% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$82,344
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alvarado and the region
Centroid at 32.3556, -97.2577 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alvarado scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alvarado
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alvarado
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alvarado
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alvarado
6.8
How Alvarado compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alvarado
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Johnson County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48251130414
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48251130414?
Census tract 48251130414 in Alvarado scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 48251130414?
21.5% of residents in tract 48251130414 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 48251130414?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 65th, minority 40th, housing 33th.
Q4
How does tract 48251130414 compare to Alvarado overall?
Tract 48251130414 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Alvarado at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alvarado; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alvarado
Top eight tracts in Alvarado ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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