Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Willow Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Heath
Tract 48397040507 ·
Rockwall, TX · pop 5,494 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48397040507 (Willow Springs in Heath, Texas) comes in at 4.1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 13th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 100% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 100% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $212,273 a year. Renters make up 1% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 0%Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,774
Renter share0.7%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$212,273
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Willow Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
67th percentile
#2 of 4 tracts In Heath
Elevated
Within county
25th percentile
#22 of 29 tracts In Rockwall
Low
Within state
3th percentile
#6,685 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Heath and the region
Centroid at 32.8662, -96.4622 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willow Springs scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Heath
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Heath
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Heath
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Heath
1.9
How Willow Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 0
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
3%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
21%Racial/ethnic minority
2%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willow Springs
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Heath, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Rockwall County average of 4.4 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 0th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48397040507
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48397040507?
Census tract 48397040507 in the Willow Springs neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 48397040507?
3.1% of residents in tract 48397040507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,494.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 48397040507?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 4th, minority 21th, housing 2th.
Q4
Is tract 48397040507 considered part of Willow Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48397040507 fall within Willow Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How does tract 48397040507 compare to Heath overall?
Tract 48397040507 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Heath at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Heath; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Heath
Top eight tracts in Heath ranked by composite eviction-risk score.