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Rio Grande City, Texas eviction risk overview
City brief · 15,396 residents

Rio Grande City, TX Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Starr County · Population 15,396

In 2026
Risk score
1.5
VERY LOW

19th percentile, Texas.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.5 Average2.4 Now1.5
10 5 1976 · score 2.0 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 2.0 1979 · score 2.1 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.5 1985 · score 1.5 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.8 1990 · score 1.9 1991 · score 1.9 1992 · score 2.1 1993 · score 2.1 1994 · score 2.2 1995 · score 2.2 1996 · score 2.2 1997 · score 2.2 1998 · score 2.2 1999 · score 2.2 2000 · score 2.5 2001 · score 2.6 2002 · score 2.6 2003 · score 2.6 2004 · score 2.6 2005 · score 2.6 2006 · score 2.7 2007 · score 2.7 2008 · score 2.8 2009 · score 2.9 2010 · score 2.9 2011 · score 2.9 2012 · score 2.8 2013 · score 2.8 2014 · score 2.9 2015 · score 2.9 2016 · score 3.1 2017 · score 3.1 2018 · score 3.2 2019 · score 3.2 2020 · score 3.6 2021 · score 3.6 2022 · score 3.5 2023 · score 3.6 2024 · score 2.9 2025 · score 2.5 2026 · score 1.5

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from constituent census tracts, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.7 Regional 5.7 State 1.5 Economic 5.7 Supply 4.0 Rent Control 1.0 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 2.3 Housing 1.8 1.5 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +16.0% (2024)
    5.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.7
  3. State political climate
    Texas legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    36.5% poverty · 6.3% unemp.
    5.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $767 average · 30.6% renters
    4.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    31.5% of income on rent
    1.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    27 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    30.6% renters
    2.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    1.8
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rio Grande City and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Rio Grande City compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Starr County
Very Low
#108 of 113 cities
Rank in county, 5th percentileBottomTop
#108 of 113 cities in Starr County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Texas
Very Low
#1573 of 1,841 cities
Rank in state, 15th percentileBottomTop
#1573 of 1,841 cities in Texas for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Rio Grande City risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Rio Grande City: 1.51.5Rio Grande CityThis cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 1.5
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 1.5/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend-0.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 27d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $767/mo. A contested eviction takes 27 days and costs $1,074-$3,421 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 30.6%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 15,396 residents, 30.6% rent. 32% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 36.5% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.7 and 5.7 (GOP margin +16.0% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 1.8, rent-control risk 1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.7. Supply constraint: 4. The numbers behind those: 36.5% poverty, 6.3% unemployment, 32% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Rio Grande City sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Mesquite, TX · 24d · ~$2.3k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.5 Mesquite McAllen, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($104/day) · score 2 McAllen Edinburg, TX · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($92/day) · score 2.1 Edinburg Mission, TX · 26d · ~$2.0k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.9 Mission Pharr, TX · 25d · ~$2.0k all-in ($80/day) · score 2.8 Pharr Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston San Antonio, TX · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 2.8 San Antonio Dallas, TX · 24d · ~$2.1k all-in ($89/day) · score 3.2 Dallas Austin, TX · 24d · ~$2.2k all-in ($92/day) · score 3.6 Austin Fort Worth, TX · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Fort Worth Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Rio Grande City
Rio Grande City · 27d · ~$2.2k all-in ($83/day) · score 1.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Rio Grande City, TX

Landlording in Rio Grande City, Texas, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 1.5/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Rio Grande City is a city of 15,396 residents where 30.6% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 31.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $767/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Rio Grande City eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Rio Grande City closes 27 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Rio Grande City's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 1.8/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Rio Grande City runs $1,074 to $3,421 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 27 days of typical timeline and $767/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.3/10 in Rio Grande City, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Texas, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Rio Grande City: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Texas's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,421 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Rio Grande City

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Compare Rio Grande City to neighboring cities in Starr County via the grid below. The 2.5/10 score is computed from nine sub-factors plus a state-law multiplier under Property Code Chapter 24. Starr County 2020 presidential margin: D+5. Cross-reference the state overview link in the guides section for Texas statutory detail.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant claims a maintenance issue for not paying rent?

In Texas, tenants generally cannot withhold rent for maintenance issues unless they follow specific procedures, like giving written notice and allowing a reasonable time for repairs. Even then, they might be allowed to "repair and deduct" but not simply stop paying. If they claim this, stick to your eviction timeline for non-payment. Address the repair issue separately, but don't let it derail your rent collection process.

Q2

How quickly can I change the locks after an eviction?

After a judge issues a Writ of Possession and the constable executes it, you can change the locks immediately. The constable will oversee the lockout, ensuring the tenant and their property are removed. Once that's done, the property is legally back in your possession.

Q3

Can I evict a tenant for having unauthorized occupants?

Yes, if your lease explicitly prohibits unauthorized occupants or specifies who can reside in the property. This would typically fall under a lease violation, requiring a 3-day notice to cure the violation or quit. If they don't comply, you can proceed with an eviction based on the lease breach.

Q4

What's the best way to screen tenants in Rio Grande City?

Focus on a comprehensive approach: credit history, criminal background, eviction history, and most verified rental references. Call past landlords, not just the current one, to get an unbiased view of their payment habits and how they maintained the property. Don't just rely on credit scores; verify income and employment.

Q5

Is "cash for keys" legal in Texas?

Absolutely. "Cash for keys" is a legal and often smart strategy. It's a voluntary agreement where you pay a tenant to move out quickly and leave the property in good condition. Get the agreement in writing, specifying the payment amount, move-out date, and condition of the property. It can save you significant time and legal fees compared to a contested eviction.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 1.5/10 places Rio Grande City in the 19th percentile of Texas cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.