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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeshore Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453002326 · Travis, TX · pop 903 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 48453002326 in the Lakeshore area of Austin, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 903. Average gross rent is $983, 43% below the Austin average.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 43% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units475
Renter share90.5%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate26.5%
Median income$42,317

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lakeshore
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 239 tracts In Austin
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 290 tracts In Travis
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2445, -97.7125 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeshore scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.5% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$983 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Lakeshore compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeshore risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0023264.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lakeshore. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeshore

30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 91% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Travis County average of 44.8%. Against the Travis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $42,317.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453002326

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453002326?

Census tract 48453002326 in the Lakeshore neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453002326?

Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453002326?

26.5% of residents in tract 48453002326 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 903.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453002326?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 4th, minority 79th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 48453002326 considered part of Lakeshore?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453002326 fall within Lakeshore (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48453002326 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453002326 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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