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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

North Shoal Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453032300 · Travis, TX · pop 4,160 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 48453032300 covers part of the North Shoal Creek area of Austin, TX, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 41% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units2,877
Renter share95.4%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$48,505

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In North Shoal Creek
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 239 tracts In Austin
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 290 tracts In Travis
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.3576, -97.7498 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Shoal Creek scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,403 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How North Shoal Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Shoal Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0323004.0Austinparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Shoal Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Shoal Creek

Cost burden runs 57% here against 44.8% across Travis County. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $48,505, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against the Travis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,403 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Austin commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453032300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453032300?

Census tract 48453032300 in the North Shoal Creek neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453032300?

Median gross rent is $1,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453032300?

14.1% of residents in tract 48453032300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,160.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453032300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 2th, minority 70th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 48453032300 considered part of North Shoal Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453032300 fall within North Shoal Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48453032300 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453032300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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