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Neighborhood · Austin, TX

North Shoal Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,876 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.4–5.4

North Shoal Creek takes in 2 census tracts of Austin, TX and houses 7,876 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Austin rate of 29.1%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. This is a renter market: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Average gross rent is $1,395, 19% below the Austin average of $1,729. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.4 to 5.4, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. That places it #37 of 151 neighborhoods in Austin. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $65,921.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
North Shoal Creek vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.7% +54%
Austin: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,395 -19%
Austin: $1,729
Average HH income
$65,921 -28%
Austin: $91,461
Poverty rate
13.1% +7%
Austin: 12.3%
Renter share
68.9% +22%
Austin: 56.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Shoal Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.4–5.4

Why North Shoal Creek scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
13.1% below poverty line · Range 3.0–3.5 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

North Shoal Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Shoal Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9North Shoal CreekNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in North Shoal Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48453032300 5.4 4,160 57% $1,403
48453040400 4.4 3,716 31% $1,386
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 48%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About North Shoal Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Shoal Creek?

North Shoal Creek scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Shoal Creek compare to Austin overall?

North Shoal Creek scores 0.9 points higher than Austin overall (4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,395 vs $1,729.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Shoal Creek?

Average gross rent in North Shoal Creek is $1,395/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Shoal Creek residents are renters?

69% of North Shoal Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 7,876 residents.
Q5

Is North Shoal Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

North Shoal Creek sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in North Shoal Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Shoal Creek is census tract 48453032300 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 5.4, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is North Shoal Creek for landlords?

North Shoal Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of North Shoal Creek?

North Shoal Creek has 7,954 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Shoal Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Shoal Creek.

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