Neighborhood · Austin, TX

North Shoal Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,876 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3.8–4.6

North Shoal Creek is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Austin with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,876 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 15% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,395/month sits 19% lower than the Austin citywide average ($1,729).

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

North Shoal Creek vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

44.7% +54%

Austin: 29.1%

Average gross rent

$1,395 -19%

Austin: $1,729

Average HH income

$65,921 -28%

Austin: $91,461

Poverty rate

13.1% +7%

Austin: 12.3%

Renter share

68.9% +22%

Austin: 56.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Shoal Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.8–4.6

Why North Shoal Creek scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

69% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

13.1% below poverty line · Range 3.0–3.5 across tracts

3.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Risk score comparison

North Shoal Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in North Shoal Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48453032300	4.6	4,160	57%	$1,403
48453040400	3.8	3,716	31%	$1,386

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 20%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 48%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About North Shoal Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for North Shoal Creek?

North Shoal Creek scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does North Shoal Creek compare to Austin overall?

North Shoal Creek scores 1.3 points higher than Austin overall (2.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,395 vs $1,729.

What is the average rent in North Shoal Creek?

Average gross rent in North Shoal Creek is $1,395/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of North Shoal Creek residents are renters?

69% of North Shoal Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 7,876 residents.

Is North Shoal Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

North Shoal Creek sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in North Shoal Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Shoal Creek is census tract 48453032300 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 4.6, a spread of 0.8 points.

How safe is North Shoal Creek for landlords?

North Shoal Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (2.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of North Shoal Creek?

North Shoal Creek has 7,954 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Shoal Creek

5.4 Wooten 2 tracts · pop 11,028 6 North Austin Civic Association 2 tracts · pop 10,612 4.9 Quail Creek 2 tracts · pop 11,913 5.6 St. Johns 2 tracts · pop 10,080 5.2 Fiskville 2 tracts · pop 5,657 3.4 Hardrock Canyon 2 tracts · pop 10,481

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Shoal Creek.

4.2 Blackshear-Prospect Hill 2 tracts · pop 5,778 4.2 McKinney 1 tracts · pop 3,288 4.2 Medical District 1 tracts · pop 1,321 4.3 Ideal Place 2 tracts · pop 8,528 4.3 Parker Lane 1 tracts · pop 4,844 4.3 Domain Northside 1 tracts · pop 4,108

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