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Neighborhood · Laredo, TX

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 12,897 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.5–4.8

Downtown spans 5 census tracts of Laredo, TX and houses 12,897 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 32.2% citywide, putting Downtown 17.1% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 37%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Running hot is economic stress at 8.6/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. At $864 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Laredo commands. That places it #12 of 29 neighborhoods in Laredo.

For a like-for-like read, Colonia Los Obispos and Western Division score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 5 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $33,978.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Laredo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.3% +53%
Laredo: 32.2%
Average gross rent
$864 -16%
Laredo: $1,030
Average HH income
$33,978 -46%
Laredo: $63,264
Poverty rate
37.1% +79%
Laredo: 20.8%
Renter share
67.2% +87%
Laredo: 35.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4.5–4.8

Why Downtown scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
37.1% below poverty line · Range 5.5–10.0 across tracts
8.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.4 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7DowntownNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.3 points from 4.5 to 4.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48479000904 4.8 2,958 39% $956
48479000800 4.8 2,848 57% $987
48479001900 4.8 2,774 62% $661
48479000700 4.8 2,099 45% $835
48479000300 4.5 2,218 41% $866
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 99%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Laredo overall?

Downtown scores 1.3 points higher than Laredo overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $864 vs $1,030.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $864/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

67% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Laredo). The neighborhood has 12,897 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 48479000904 (score 4.8/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 4.8, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Laredo as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 12,359 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (98.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (1.3%), Other / Multiracial (0.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Laredo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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