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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Granary District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Salt Lake City

Tract 49035102502 · Salt Lake, UT · pop 1,396 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

49035102502 is a census tract in the Granary District area of Salt Lake City, UT. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,396. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 42% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units990
Renter share73.3%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$77,339

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Granary District
Moderate
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 55 tracts In Salt Lake City
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 251 tracts In Salt Lake
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 716 tracts In Utah
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salt Lake City and the region

Centroid at 40.7628, -111.9039 · click any tract to drill in

Why Granary District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salt Lake City
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,576 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salt Lake City
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salt Lake City
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salt Lake City
5.0

How Granary District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Granary District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 1025024.0Salt Lake Cityparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Granary District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Granary District

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.9/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Salt Lake County average of 3.8. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. Average gross rent is $1,576, 11% above the Salt Lake City average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10. Statewide the UT average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 49035102502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49035102502?

Census tract 49035102502 in the Granary District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 49035102502?

Median gross rent is $1,576/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 49035102502?

22.8% of residents in tract 49035102502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,396.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 49035102502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 5th, minority 36th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 49035102502 considered part of Granary District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49035102502 fall within Granary District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 49035102502 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 49035102502 compare to Salt Lake City overall?

Tract 49035102502 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Salt Lake City at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salt Lake City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 49035102502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salt Lake City

Top eight tracts in Salt Lake City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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