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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Central City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Salt Lake City

Tract 49035102300 · Salt Lake, UT · pop 3,281 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

49035102300 is a census tract in the Central City area of Salt Lake City, UT. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,281. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 41% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,887
Renter share80.3%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate23.8%
Median income$33,723

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Central City
Very Low
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 55 tracts In Salt Lake City
Elevated
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 251 tracts In Salt Lake
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 716 tracts In Utah
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salt Lake City and the region

Centroid at 40.7549, -111.8837 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central City scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salt Lake City
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
23.8% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$957 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salt Lake City
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salt Lake City
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salt Lake City
5.0

How Central City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central City risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 1023004.0Salt Lake Cityparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 252Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 2.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak (2010)
  • 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 49035102300
Filings dropped 48% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central City

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Average gross rent is $957, 32% below the Salt Lake City average.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $33,723, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Against the Salt Lake County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 42.4% across Salt Lake County. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Court records carry 252 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 3.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 49035102300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49035102300?

Census tract 49035102300 in the Central City neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 49035102300?

Median gross rent is $957/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 49035102300?

23.8% of residents in tract 49035102300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,281.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 49035102300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 25th, minority 43th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 49035102300 considered part of Central City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49035102300 fall within Central City (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49035102300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 252 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 49035102300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.28% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 49035102300 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 49035102300 compare to Salt Lake City overall?

Tract 49035102300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Salt Lake City at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salt Lake City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 49035102300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 96% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salt Lake City

Top eight tracts in Salt Lake City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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