Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Tradiations of America Eviction Risk: Lower , Chester
Tract 51041100823 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,614 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51041100823 covers part of the Tradiations of America area of Chester, VA, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,614 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,487
Renter share24.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$97,946
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chester and the region
Centroid at 37.3645, -77.4857 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tradiations of America scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chester
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chester
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chester
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chester
5.6
How Tradiations of America compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,646Total filings over 7 yrs
- 33.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.2%Peak (2013)
- 243Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tradiations of America
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
Court records carry 1,646 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 36.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 33.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 25% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Chesterfield County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,566, close to the Chester average.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $97,946.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100823
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100823?
Census tract 51041100823 in the Tradiations of America neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100823?
Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100823?
7.4% of residents in tract 51041100823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,614.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100823?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 74th, minority 61th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100823 considered part of Tradiations of America?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100823 fall within Tradiations of America (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100823?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,646 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100823 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.64% of renter households, peaking at 36.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100823 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100823 compare to Chester overall?
Tract 51041100823 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Chester at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chester
Top eight tracts in Chester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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