Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Matoaca Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51041100701 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,401 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Here is how census tract 51041100701, in the Matoaca Manor area of Matoaca, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,401. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,222 monthly, set against $62,222 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 8% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,222
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$62,222

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Matoaca Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Matoaca
Very High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Elevated
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1,094 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Matoaca and the region

Centroid at 37.2344, -77.4752 · click any tract to drill in

Why Matoaca Manor scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Matoaca
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,222 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Matoaca
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Matoaca
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Matoaca
4.2

How Matoaca Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Matoaca Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 100701Matoaca: 3.53.5Matoacaparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 931Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 22.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.4%Peak (2012)
  • 102Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510411007012010: 130 filings (22.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 146 filings (24.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 177 filings (29.40/100 renter HHs)2013: 176 filings (29.24/100 renter HHs)2014: 123 filings (20.43/100 renter HHs)2015: 77 filings (12.79/100 renter HHs)2016: 102 filings (16.24/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Matoaca Manor

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Matoaca, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100701?

Census tract 51041100701 in the Matoaca Manor neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100701?

Median gross rent is $1,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100701?

8.3% of residents in tract 51041100701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 86th, minority 70th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 51041100701 considered part of Matoaca Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100701 fall within Matoaca Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 931 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.14% of renter households, peaking at 29.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51041100701 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51041100701 compare to Matoaca overall?

Tract 51041100701 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Matoaca at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Matoaca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Matoaca

Top eight tracts in Matoaca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related