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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Matoaca Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51041100704 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,117 · 3% of tract blocks fall in Matoaca

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 51041100704 in Matoaca, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,117. Against Chesterfield County at 42.3%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,819
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$114,485

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Matoaca
Very Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#1,741 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Matoaca and the region

Centroid at 37.2619, -77.5741 · click any tract to drill in

Why Matoaca scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Matoaca
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,335 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Matoaca
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Matoaca
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Matoaca
4.2

How Matoaca compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Matoaca risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 1007043.7Matoacaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Matoaca

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,335, 28% above the Matoaca average. Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $114,485, annual rent is just 14%.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041100704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100704?

Census tract 51041100704 in Matoaca scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041100704?

Median gross rent is $1,335/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100704?

4.7% of residents in tract 51041100704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,117.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 12th, minority 39th, housing 12th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 51041100704 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 51041100704 compare to Matoaca overall?

Tract 51041100704 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Matoaca at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Matoaca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Matoaca

Top eight tracts in Matoaca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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