Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Matoaca Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51041100704 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,117 · 3% of tract blocks fall in Matoaca
The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 51041100704 reflects conditions in Matoaca in Chesterfield County, Virginia. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,335 monthly, set against $114,485 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,819
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$114,485
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Matoaca and the region
Centroid at 37.2619, -77.5741 · click any tract to drill in
Why Matoaca scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Matoaca
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,335 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Matoaca
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Matoaca
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Matoaca
4.2
How Matoaca compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Matoaca
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Matoaca, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100704?
Census tract 51041100704 in Matoaca scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100704?
Median gross rent is $1,335/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100704?
4.7% of residents in tract 51041100704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,117.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 12th, minority 39th, housing 12th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51041100704 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51041100704 compare to Matoaca overall?
Tract 51041100704 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Matoaca at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Matoaca; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Matoaca
Top eight tracts in Matoaca ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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